Adapting that sort of thing to probabilistic reasoning is just a matter of thinking of the probability of a hypothesis as its region's fraction of the area of the whole diagram. Of course the fraction ...

The Emergence of Probability, Representing and Intervening ... examples drawn from everyday life create the appropriate context to prepare students to think critically about the barrage of statisical ...

So, the probability that a randomly chosen Muslim is a terrorist is incredibly small — on the order of 0.00009%. This one involves two people. One person gives a bad argument for a particular ...

More information: Nicole Steib et al, How to teach Bayesian reasoning: An empirical study comparing four different ...